Going to see a few Tower Cranes around Auckland
I did notice earlier in the day another economist missing the mark in regards to residential, commercial and industrial building supply in Auckland (see: “Brian Fallow: Census housing statistics show shortfall not so dire“).
Again it prompted me to respond with this:
And another Economist who missed the briefing on the Unitary Plan, the Census, the Economy and the population cycle… Then again Economists often miss the mark such as this case…
Growth is going to ramp up again as we come out of the bottom of the cycle folks…….
Remember low-interest rates mean Economy is buggered and needs to grow, high interest rates means economy is booming and needs to slow down. We have low-interest rates so………
The material to further refute both the NZIER and Brian Fallow can be seen here:
and
Hence we also have a release from Auckland Council outlining the impending recovery and boom ahead.
From Auckland Council:
Auckland Council gets ready for construction boom
Auckland Council is gearing up to meet the demands of the biggest forecast construction boom in 40 years.
Responding to a joint government and industry report released today predicting an unprecedented increase in building activity over the next six years, Auckland Council’s Chief Operating Officer Dean Kimpton says the significance of its findings for Auckland are clear.
“The report identifies Auckland as one of New Zealand’s ‘construction hot spots’, with around a third of building work predicted to take place here. Much of this is driven by the forecast that Auckland’s residential housing demand will more than double. This is consistent with the projected population growth of Auckland over the next 30 years,” says Mr Kimpton.
“We are already building capacity in our building and resource consent units and working more efficiently, such as by introducing fast-track processing so straight-forward consents are dealt with in 10 days. We will use the findings to ensure our regulatory teams are structured to meet demand and that we are investing in graduate employment schemes and cadetships to continue to deliver a timely regulatory application process.”
The National Construction Pipeline Report was commissioned by the Building and Construction Productivity Partnership and brings together economic forecasts and data from the public and private sectors on their forward construction workload.
“It is essential that Auckland Council and its council controlled organisations (CCOs) work closely with government and the private sector to deliver its own infrastructure. We must also continue to provide a clear vision for future growth and support this forecast increase through our approvals process,” says Mr Kimpton.
The newly established Housing Project Office is one example of Auckland Council’s coordinated response to meet demand for regulatory building approvals. It brings together representatives from council’s building and resource consent, planning, stormwater, libraries and parks units, Auckland Transport (AT) and Watercare, along with the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE), to provide a coordinated response to deliver high-quality housing and neighbourhoods.
Auckland Council is also contributing to the research needed to understand market demand and working closely with MBIE and the Productivity Partnership to streamline procurement processes.
Mr Kimpton also chairs the Auckland Procurement Forum, a group working across both public and private sectors to better understand the forward pipeline of infrastructure work and how procurement processes can be improved.
…
The Built Environment, Environment Strategy and Policy Division (known as the urban Design team) will be busy as well no doubt.
What the impending construction boom means is that projects that have taken three years to get the ball rolling at least on the planning phases (Manukau – and the November Auckland Development Committee) should start to be sped up. I know Council is planning a site visit and workshop session around Manukau City Centre early next year however, I do stress “urgency” in getting the planning and consents wrapped up for Manukau by the end of 2014 so the first sod on the new projects can be done early 2015. Nothing worse than having the residential side of the boom take off and have the commercial, industry, civic and transport sides lag behind.
Speaking of which if Council is looking for an urban designer or “comms” person early next year and don’t mind me going back in 2015 to complete my Masters in both Planning and Urban Design at part time level, please don’t hesitate to give me a yell via email (Ben.R001@gmail.com).
My LinkedIn profile can be found here: http://www.linkedin.com/pub/ben-ross/51/268/ab4
Busy times ahead as Auckland prepares to take off
Developing a 21st Century Auckland and Manukau Presentation Booklet – as presented alongside the presentation to the Auckland Development Committee in November:
Latest updates also found here: Developing a 21st Century Auckland Presentation – The Results
Talking Southern Auckland 