First of the Two Downtown Items Passed in Committee The next run of blog posts will be covering the results and performances from yesterday’s 9:30 hours of often fraught … Continue reading Downtown Framework Passed [Updated with Framework now Included]
Blog posts on Downtown Auckland are coming
In the mean time a poll last night resulting in an update on the Poll of Polls.
National now clearly in danger of being sent to the Opposition Benches if Labour can put something together
This evening, we’ve just had the latest One News Colmar Brunton poll released, with some quite interesting results.
National slump a large 4% to 46%. That places them in the danger zone, where David Cunliffe could potentially form a coalition, albeit one involving the Greens, NZ First, Internet Mana and the Maori Party.
Labour drops too, down 1% to just 25%. Yet another poll, yet another bad result for Labour.
The Greens are the big movers, up 3% to 14%, a result they’ll be more than happy with.
For the remaining minor parties, NZ First remains on 7%, comfortably above the 5% threshold, while the Conservatives climb 1.1% to 4%. It’s yet another good poll for the Conservatives, but they’re still awaiting a result that puts them over 5%.
ACT also have some significant movement, going from 0.1% to 1.2%. That’s the first poll this year that has had them above 1%, and it’s ever so close…
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Hugh Pavletich gives his thoughts on Australia’s Housing WHEN WILL THE AUSSIE HOUSING BUBBLE BURST ? Hugh Pavletich, 10 September 2014 Peter Martin, Economics Editor with The Age … Continue reading Australian Housing Situation Dire?
To look at ‘Using Land for Housing I saw this come up during a conversation this morning on the Unitary Plan; From the Productivity Commission New inquiry – Using … Continue reading Productivity Commission’s New Inquiry
Bit Late Announcing That One? I see Labour in their final Auckland Policy is talking about The Southern Initiative, something much covered here in Talking Auckland. From Radio … Continue reading Labour Backs The Southern Initiative
Guiding Developments in Downtown Auckland On Thursday the Auckland Development Committee will meet. One of the agenda items (I have already covered the Downtown Public Space Options) is looking at … Continue reading Downtown Framework
The Yeah-Nah Tax Cut announcement
John saying yeah
Bill saying nah
Tax cuts – they’re coming, in April 2017, should National be re-elected. Maybe. Depending on whether economic and fiscal conditions allow.
But what form will these tax cuts take? That’s a good question, to which no one is any the wiser. By April 2017, National projects that they’ll have accrued a pool of $1.5 billion, of which apparently $1 billion will be set aside for tax cuts, while the remaining $500 million will go towards debt reduction. Tax cuts will be targeted to lower and middle income earners, but how National intends to structure the cuts is a mystery.
And what will these lower and middle income earners receive in their back pockets? Well, here things get really strange. Last week, John Key was pulling numbers from thin aid, pondering anything from $10, $20, $30… Then over the weekend on TheNation, Bill English was denying that any numbers had been…
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Lets have a chat about the North Western Busway Amongst other things the Auckland Development Committee is talking about the North Western Bus Way. From the Auckland Development Committee … Continue reading Auckland Development Committee Talks Bus-Way
The Queen Elizabeth Square Debate Continues Thursday’s Auckland Committee Agenda is a packed one with one of the items back up on the debate agenda. That item being the … Continue reading Downtown Public Space Options
An interesting thought and paradigm for the Conservatives.
My inclination says they won’t make it and their vote might tip as high as 4.8%. In our MMP system without an electorate seat that means no Conservatives in the next Parliament and 4.8% of the vote wasted that might have gone to National or split even to NZ First.
If the Conservatives do make it in I wonder if they would be a stabiliser or destabiliser to a Centre Right Government. Or should we allow the Conservatives over the 5% and test them on the Cross Benches…..
Hmmmmm
Back when John Key confirmed there would be no East Coast Bays deal for Colin Craig, I happily wrote off the Conservative Party. With no hope of winning an electorate seat, they had no choice but to make 5% of the vote, which was one hell of a long shot.
However, if I cast my eye around the internet, I’ve apparently been far too early to write them off. In the NZ Herald this morning, there’s John Roughan talking up the Conservatives in his opinion piece “Craig’s day in the sun may dawn“. The latest Herald Digipoll says National voters would prefer a coalition with the Conservatives, rather than NZ First. And over at the Dim-Post, Danyl McLauchlan publishes his bias-adjusted tracking poll and predicts “The Conservatives will probably cross the 5% threshold.”
Personally, I stand by my prediction that the Conservatives won’t make it. One poll…
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Talking Southern Auckland 